Tag Archives: Kevin Mitchell

Emergent, not dead

When physicists and philosophers talk about the universe, which they do a lot, they often talk about what is fundamental and what is not. What Is not fundamental is described as emergent, meaning that it emerges from what is fundamental. In the world of physics what is fundamental are the elementary particles and forces of which all other things are comprised. Everything else is emergent. That includes all combinations of fundamental things, starting with the atomic elements, the molecules, materials and substances, objects in space—planets, stars, and galaxies—and of course, all the organisms and entities that exist on objects in space, such as bacteria, plants, animals, and humans. All these things are described as systems created from components of fundamental particles and forces.

So far, so good.

The story gets more complicated when physicists and philosophers talk about causation and agency. There is a view among many that what is fundamental is more real than what is not. Emergent things are either not real or at least somewhat less real than what is fundamental. And even if admitted to be real, emergent things such as systems have less power—less causative power—than what is fundamental. Under this common view, all things and events in the universe result from the movements and interactions of fundamental particles and forces. The actions and interactions of emergent things and systems result from and are caused by fundamental particles and forces. Exclusively. Causation moves in only one direction, from what is fundamental to what is not. There is no reverse causation or feedback loop from emergent things to fundamental things.

Does downward causation break the laws of physics?

Downward causation refers to the power of things that are not fundamental, i.e., all emergent things and systems, to exercise causation or agency. Such top-down causation is often described as supernatural and a violation of physical laws. Physicist Sean Carroll talks about focusing on one atom in a finger of his hand and predicting its behavior based on “the laws of nature and some specification of the conditions in its surroundings—the other atoms, the electric and magnetic fields, the force due to gravity, and so on.” Such a prediction does not require “understanding something about the bigger person-system.”[1] It goes without saying that the action of moving his hand is not relevant to predicting the motion of the atom.

Physicist Sabine Hossenfelder calls it a “common misunderstanding” that a computer algorithm written by a programmer controls electrons by switching transistors on and off or that a particle accelerator operated by a scientist causes the collision of two protons to produce a Higgs boson. In both cases it is the deeper fundamental physical composition, i.e., the neutrons, protons, and electrons, that explain the events; it is simply useful to describe the behaviors of the systems (the computer, the accelerator, the programmer, the scientist) in practical system-level terms.

[W]e find explanations for one level’s functions by going to a deeper level, not the other way around…. [A]ccording to the best current evidence, the world is reductionist: the behavior of large composite objects derives from the behavior of their constituents….[2]

The assumption of determinism

These assertions are not entirely uncontroversial. First, there is no universal agreement that the behavior of higher-level things can always be explained by looking at lower-level things and the behavior of constituents.[3] Systems admittedly are combinations of fundamental things, but those combinations result in properties and behaviors that don’t occur at lower levels. Many of the properties relevant to the behavior of emergent systems don’t even exist at the level of fundamental particles and forces. Trying to explain all emergent system behavior by describing the behavior of fundamental particles is somewhat like trying to explain a computer game by describing the opening and closing of logic gates on integrated circuits.[4] You might learn what’s occurring in the computer hardware, but you wouldn’t be able to play the game.

There also seems to be an assumption that “explained by” is equivalent to “caused by”. If you can describe the properties and behavior of a system in terms of particles and forces, then the behavior of the system is caused by those particles and forces. The ability to describe a system in terms of fundamental particles and forces seems relatively established, i.e., when an arm moves, that movement also constitutes the movement of many billions of tiny particles under the influence of fundamental forces. That much is uncontroversial. But whether those particles and forces also can decide to move the arm does not follow quite so logically or incontrovertibly.

That last step requires another key assumption—that the behavior of systems is completely determined by the behavior of fundamental particles and forces. It requires a conclusion that “using the laws of physics to move my arm” is equivalent to “having my arm moved by the laws of physics.” In other words, it assumes complete determinism, which means the behavior of the universe can be analogized to a long chain of dominoes stretching back to the Big Bang 13.8 billion years ago, all falling in a deterministic pattern. Your arm, my arm, and any decision to raise any arm are all dominoes in that chain.

The problem with dominoes

On the face of it, a long chain of dominoes seems a simplistic and brittle design architecture for 13.8 billion years of history. But putting aside the fragility of the design, there is a more fundamental problem with a picture of the universe based on a chain of dominoes—our deepest theory of physical reality says that what is fundamental is not wholly deterministic. Quantum evolution is not deterministic but probabilistic. It integrates uncertainty, probability and indeterminacy into what is fundamental. Determinism relies on an unbroken chain of events and causes. Quantum mechanics breaks the causative chain at a very deep level—the level of fundamental particles and forces.

The problem with indeterminacy

The story does not end there, however. Because quantum indeterminacy does not run rampant through the macroscopic world. Nor does it not cause quantum mechanics to produce nonsensical, random, or chaotic results. No, in fact, despite breaking the causative chain of determinism, quantum mechanics produces extremely accurate predictions and is one of the most successful tools ever created by physics; it is the foundation of much of our advanced technology. Microscopic quantum indeterminacy simply does not result in ubiquitous macroscopic indeterminacy.

The reason is that the seemingly random indeterminacy of quantum state reduction, i.e., what we might call quantum jumps, occurs within the probability distribution of the quantum wave function. As a result many, many microscopic quantum jumps average out to produce aggregate results predicted by the wave function. The laws of probability cause those many, many trillions of tiny quantum interactions to produce a macroscopic world that looks like the world predicted by the wave function and by classical physics. The macrocosm does not look like the quantum world; it looks like Newton’s classical world.

So have we come full circle? Does quantum indeterminacy break the causative chain of determinism and then fail to affect the macroscopic world at all? Does it average out so completely that it becomes irrelevant to emergent systems?

Probabilities are not dominoes

We don’t know the full answer—yet. But it seems vanishingly unlikely that something as fundamental as quantum indeterminacy plays no role in the macroscopic world.

It is true that portions of the macroscopic world seem to act in a largely understandable way consistent with a more determinist view of physical behavior. And yet we know that if we drill down deep enough into the behavior of macroscopic systems, we will find beneath the surface both practical and theoretical uncertainty limiting what we can measure and know about quantum behavior.

We also know that there is a difference between predicting the probability of something happening and predicting what actually happens. There is a tension between those things, a dynamic that makes a difference, even in the emergent world. Probabilities are predicted distributions over many occurrences. In any one occurrence, the particular result is not predictable. So even if the broad-scale average behavior of emergent systems were predictable, the behavior of each system in each event is not. Nature presents us with an average, not an absolute, picture of the macroscopic world; classical physics works as an approximation of quantum physics only because of averages and scale.

Unpredictable variation, in fact, is a requirement for application of the laws of probability. Probability results in a meaningful representation of behavior only if there exists a large number of different events whose outcomes average into a distribution. That requires the occurrence of events which are not individually predictable. In other words, for the aggregate behavior of systems to converge on a meaningful probability, individual systems must have the ability to do something improbable. That must be true for any system whose actions are not predictable with 100% probability. Anything short of 100% requires that the system must on occasion do something less than 100% probable—something improbable or unlikely or even random.

That, of course, is exactly what many emergent systems do. From tumbling bacteria[5] to complex weather patterns to human beings, complex emergent systems on any given day do not conform to the average. Instead, they engage in deeply unpredictable behavior which fits a model of the universe based on probabilistic evolution, at both the microscopic and macroscopic levels.

Emergent systems learn to do random things

Natural selection may teach biological systems to do exactly that. Neuroscientist Kevin Mitchell theorizes that complex biological systems take advantage of the chance introduced by quantum indeterminacy to exert causal influence.

[T]he really crucial point is that the introduction of chance undercuts necessity’s monopoly on causation. The low-level physical details and forces ae not causally comprehensive; they are not sufficient to determine how a system will evolve from state to state. This opens the door for higher-level features to have some causal influence in determining which way the physical system will evolve. This influence is exerted by establishing contextual constraints: in other words, the way the system is organized can also do some causal work. In the brain, that organization embodies knowledge, beliefs, goals, and motivations—our reasons for doing things. This means some things are driven neither by necessity nor by chance; instead, they are up to us.[6]

Emergent systems evolve a design architecture that leverages indeterminacy without breaking the laws of physics.

The universe is not deterministic, and as a consequence, the low-level laws of physics do not exhaustively encompass all types of causation. The laws themselves are not violated, of course—there’s nothing in the way living systems work that contravenes them nor any reason to think they need to be modified when atoms or molecules find themselves in a living organism. It’s just that they are not sufficient either to determine or explain the behavior of the system.[7]

In particular, he describes how organisms use indeterminacy, embodied in “an inherent unreliability and randomness in neural activity,”[8] to exercise causative power in an extraordinary way: “[O]rganisms can sometimes choose to do something random.[9]

Self-governing systems constrained by probability

Is it possible that the universe can construct autonomous, self-governing, decision-making systems? Can fundamental particles and forces create causation engines that are constrained by the laws of physics and probability but not fully determined by the particles and forces that build them?

Philosopher of physics Jennan Ismael argues that determinism does not rule out the existence of autonomous systems “with robust capabilities for self-governance.”[10] Self-governing systems can have the “felt ability to act spontaneously in the world, to do what [they] choose in the here and now, by whim or fancy, free of any felt constraints.”[11] These emergent systems cannot violate the laws of physics, but they can use them to their own advantage. They can choose without any other local force or subsystem compelling them to do so; they even can engage in capricious or random behavior in defiance of any attempt to predict their actions.

The catch is that this relatively unconstrained freedom exists only for subsystems of the universe where local laws and states are subject to exogenous interventions and no other subsystem can exercise complete control. The big picture is still governed by the global laws of the universe, where there can be no exogenous interventions (because the universe includes everything). Determinism still rules, operating with global laws at the global level. But at the local level, there is freedom for self-governing systems to influence each other and exercise autonomy.

Ismael rejects the notion that quantum indeterminacy changes this picture. And yet her compatibilist description of reality, and her distinction between local freedom and global determinism, looks and feels almost like the universe described by Mitchell—a universe in which the door is open for systems to evolve causative power. Ismael describes the development of the self with autonomous and self-governing capabilities in a way that is very like how Mitchell describes the evolution of free agency through natural selection.[12] In the universe described by both Ismael and Mitchell, fundamental particles and forces enable the existence of emergent systems that exercise agency even to the point of choosing random behavior.

What if the picture Ismael offers is almost entirely correct, except that quantum indeterminacy and probability govern at the global level? Such a world would look and feel like the world she describes, but it would not assume a global principle of absolute determinism. It would be governed by probability at both the microscopic and macroscopic levels. Instead of circumscribed local freedom, self-governing systems would have the relative free agency described by Mitchell, allowing and encouraging them to exercise causative power to do things for reasons and even to do unexpected things.         

What if that is who we are?

It is a truism that ideas can be powerful. Yet it is difficult to describe an idea in the language of fundamental particles and forces. The Pythagorean Theorem has influenced the history of mathematics, but what would the theorem look like represented only by fundamental particles and forces? Perhaps the brain of Pythagoras could be represented as a system constructed from fundamental things, but how exactly would particles and forces represent the mathematical concepts employed by Pythagoras—concepts which undoubtedly have exercised causal influence on other mathematicians, engineers, and scientists? The same question can be asked about the concepts of quantum mechanics. Fermions and bosons may behave quantum mechanically, but could they conceptualize quantum mechanics?

Unless we conclude that concepts have no causative influence—even the concepts of quantum mechanics—emergent systems must be able to exercise some causal power, including through the creation of ideas and concepts.

The inference seems inescapable that the universe and the fundamental particles and forces that comprise it can construct emergent systems with causal power—systems that can’t move the atoms of a finger by breaking the laws of physics, but can choose to move a hand.

Emergent, not dead.


[1] Carroll (2016), p. 109.

[2] Hossenfelder (2022), pp. 88-89. She does acknowledge that there are unanswered questions about the connections between the layers. “Why is it that the details from short distances do not matter over long distances? Why doesn’t the behavior of protons and neutrons inside atoms matter for the orbits of planets? How come what quarks and gluons do inside protons doesn’t affect the efficiency of drugs? Physicists have a name for this disconnect—the decoupling of scales—but no explanation. Maybe there isn’t one. The world has to be some way and not another, and so we will always be left with unanswered why questions. Or maybe this particular why question tells us we’re missing an overarching principle that connects the different layers.” Ibid., p. 89 (emphasis in original).

[3] See e.g., Anderson (1972), Ellis (2020).

[4] Analogy suggested by a passage in Ismael (2016), p. 217.

[5] Biologist Martin Heisenberg describes the ability of certain bacteria to initiate random tumbles in a search for food and a favorable environment. Heisenberg (2009).

[6] Mitchell (2023), pp. 163-164 (emphasis in original).

[7] Mitchell (2023), pp. 168-169.

[8] Mitchell (2023), p. 175 (emphasis in original).

[9] Mitchell (2023), p. 175.

[10] Ismael (2016), p. xi.

[11] Ismael (2016), p. 228.

[12] And also similar to the picture developed by Daniel Dennett. Mitchell (2023), p. 151. Dennett (2017).

Electrons R Us

“Einstein could not bring himself to believe that ‘God plays dice with the world,’ but perhaps we could reconcile him to the idea that ‘God lets the world run free’.” – John Conway & Simon Kochen, “The Free Will Theorem”[1]

Are fundamental particles the source of free will in the universe? More specifically, does the unpredictable quantum behavior of electrons and other micro particles enable macro-level free choice?

Philosophers have puzzled over questions like these since Democritus and Epicurus.[2] The free will theorem of mathematicians John Conway and Simon Kochen addresses the quantum version of the question, famously asserting that if humans have free will, then electrons also have free will.[3] The theorem proves mathematically that the universe cannot be deterministic because the quantum behavior of particles is not determined by the past history of the particles or the past history of the entire universe. Quantum behavior is non-deterministic, therefore “[n]ature itself is non-deterministic.”[4]

Why do particles behave in unexplained ways?

Physicists have long observed that particles behave in a curious and unpredictable way during quantum evolution. In the initial phase of evolution, particles and their wave functions evolve over time according to the Schrödinger equation, with predictions of particle behavior changing in an expected and deterministic way. In this phase the future direction and behavior of a particle and its wave function is determined by its prior direction and behavior. In a later phase of quantum evolution, however, when the predicted behavior of a particle is tested with a measurement, something different happens. Instead of behaving in a predicted and determined way, the wave function seems to collapse, and the particle jumps to a specific measured state which cannot be predicted with specificity.[5] Physicists cannot say why or how the specific result occurs in that instance. It is in the range of possible results predicted by the Schrödinger equation, but the mechanism by which the particular result is chosen remains unclear.

Theorists have attempted to explain this behavior by suggesting the existence of unknown or hidden factors which determine the result. The theories assume that the relevant variable simply has not been discovered yet, but its discovery will explain the particular path taken by the particle and its wave function to reach the particular result in each instance. These are called hidden-variable theories.

Electrons make “free” choices

Conway and Kochen analyzed mathematically whether it is possible for hidden variables to determine the outcome of quantum reduction. Relying on non-controversial facts of quantum mechanics, they showed that if an experimenter is free to choose the experiment conducted on a particle, then it can be proven mathematically that the particle is “free” to choose the particular measurement result.[6] In other words, if the experimenter’s choice of how to conduct the experiment is not predetermined by an unknown factor, then it is impossible for the particle’s choice to be predetermined by an unknown factor.[7] The particle is as “free” as the experimenter, and the measurement result chosen by the particle can never be predicted by any preexisting event, variable, or information in the prior history of the universe.

Does the unpredictability of fundamental particles help explain human free will?

The established view among many physicists and philosophers of science is “no”. Fundamental physics is said to offer only two choices—strict determinism or pure randomness—neither of which leaves any room for human judgment or free will.[8]

In contrast, Conway and Kochen argue that the choices made by electrons are not purely “random” or “stochastic” but are more accurately described as “free” or “semi-free”. They believe that a form of “free” choice built into the quantum foundation of the universe may offer a basis for human “free” choice and will.[9]

Free or random

Quantum reduction does have some features not fully consistent with pure randomness. The seemingly “random” results of measurement are not arbitrary but fall within the range of possible results predicted by the Schrödinger equation. Over repeated measurements, the results also average out and approximate the results predicted by both the Schrödinger equation and deterministic principles of classical physics. Perhaps most significantly, particles in a state of superposition produce correlated measurement results. When one entangled particle is measured, with an unpredictable result, a measurement performed on a second twinned particle, entangled with the first, is correlated to the result of the first measurement and therefore more predictable. The twinned, entangled particles do not behave in a completely random way.[10]

Some believe that the alternative to determinism is randomness, and go on to say that “allowing randomness into the world does not really help in understanding free will.” However, this objection does not apply to the free responses of the particles that we have described. It may well be true that classically stochastic processes such as tossing a (true) coin do not help in explaining free will, but … randomness also does not explain the quantum mechanical effects described in our theorem. It is precisely the ‘semi-free’ nature of twinned particles, and more generally of entanglement, that shows that something very different from classical stochasticism is at play here.[11]

Conway and Kochen wrote as mathematicians, not neuroscientists, so offered no empirical evidence or theories to explain how the quantum behavior of particles might influence macroscopic entities such as ourselves.[12] But they had a strong belief that it was possible.[13]

Can random occurrences in the microcosm enable non-random evolution in the macroscopic world?

Even if quantum behavior were random, is there reason to believe that random action at the quantum level gives rise to non-random evolution, or something like choice, at the macroscopic level?

We know that random variation in nature can result in non-random evolution. An obvious example is quantum reduction itself, which is governed by the laws of probability. Those laws cause seemingly random results to average out and produce the appearance and reality of non-random macroscopic evolution. Natural selection is also an obvious example; it is based on the principle that random changes and genetic variations drive non-random evolution of species over time.

A less obvious example is the role that randomness and indeterminacy may play in the evolution of reason-based decision-making and free agency. In his book Free Agents: How Evolution Gave Us Free Will, neuroscientist Kevin Mitchell challenges the position that “indeterminacy or randomness doesn’t get you free will.”[14] He argues instead for a direct connection between indeterminacy and the development through natural selection of reasoned judgment and meaning.

The idea is not that some events are predetermined and others are random, with neither providing agential control. It’s that a pervasive degree of indefiniteness loosens the bonds of fate and creates some room for agents to decide which way things go. The low-level details of physical systems plus the equations governing the evolution of quantum fields do not completely determine the evolution of the whole system. They are not causally comprehensive: other factors—such as constraints imposed by the higher-order organization of the system—can play a causal role in settling how things go.

In living organisms, the higher-order organization reflects the cumulative effects of natural selection, imparting true functionality relative to the purpose of persisting…. The essential purposiveness of living things leads to a situation where meaning drives the mechanisms. Acting for a reason is what living systems are physically set up to do.[15]

Uncertainty leads to interpretation, prediction, and the creation of meaning

Mitchell maintains that “indeterminacy at the lowest levels can indeed introduce indeterminacy at higher levels.”[16] If that is true, and indeterminacy is ubiquitous at both microscopic and macroscopic levels, the process of resolving that indeterminacy becomes a fundamental feature of physical existence.

For living systems, resolving indeterminacy means confronting uncertainty. Organisms, as a matter of biological necessity, must deal with a level of unreliability and randomness in the environment. It is built in. There is no escape from it.

With incomplete knowledge about expected occurrences in the environment, organisms learn to interpret events and predict what will happen in order to adapt behavior to threats or opportunities. Organisms that do this well tend to persist better than organisms that predict less well.

For organisms with neural systems such as ours, interpretation of events further leads to the imposition of meaning on the world in order to act and persist within it. The meaning given to events becomes important to survival, and acting in ways that are consistent with that meaning becomes crucial.[17] Creating meaning and acting for reasons helps us survive in an environment of uncertainty and indeterminacy. Natural selection therefore results in organic systems that specialize in interpretation and meaning and choice.

Indeterminacy means organisms can choose to behave randomly

Living systems also learn to use randomness to their benefit. Mitchell describes how the neural structures of our brains have evolved to reflect and take advantage of the uncertainty around us.

There is an inherent unreliability and randomness in neural activity that is a feature in the system, not a bug. The noisiness of neural components is a crucial factor in enabling an organism to flexibly adapt to its changing environment—both on the fly and over time.[18]

The system succeeds, not just despite uncertainty and randomness, but also because of it.

[O]rganisms have developed numerous mechanisms to directly harness the underlying randomness in neural activity. It can be drawn on to resolve an impasse in decision making, to increase exploratory behavior, or to allow novel ideas to be considered when planning the next action. These phenomena illustrate the reality of noisy processes in the nervous system and highlight a surprising but very important fact: organisms can sometimes choose to do something random.[19]

The ability to harness randomness enables the creativity that characterizes brains like ours and enhances our ability to survive and grow and persist. Mitchell cites the two-stage model of free will proposed by William James as a model for how organisms use randomness and indeterminacy to broaden the options available for decision-making.[20] Ideas spring to mind in a seemingly, or actually, random way, but then the organism applies judgment and decision-making to choose the option that suits the requirements of the system in that moment.

In humans, we recognize this capacity as creativity—in this case, creative problem solving. When we are frustrated in achieving our current goals or when none of the conceived options presents an adequate solution to the current problem, we can broaden our search beyond the obvious to consider new ideas. These do not spring from nowhere but often arise as cognitive permutations: by combining knowledge in new ways, by drawing abstract analogies with previously encountered problems in different domains, or by recognizing and questioning current assumptions that may be limiting the options that occur to us. In this way, humans become truly creative agents, using the freedom conferred by the underlying neural indeterminacy to generate genuinely original thoughts and ideas, which we then scrutinize to find the ones that actually solve the problem. Creative thoughts can thus be seen as acts of free will, facilitated by chance but filtered by choice.[21]

Similar to how new biological variations appear randomly in nature, but then are selected or eliminated through natural selection, humans rely on inherent randomness for creative inspiration, while implementing the constraints and systems of meaning that determine how we persist and why.

This model thus powerfully breaks the bonds of determinism, incorporating true randomness into our cognitive processes while protecting the causal role of the agent itself in deciding what to do.[22]

Quantum evolution and natural selection have given us the ability to resolve the indeterminacy at the heart of the universe by confronting uncertainty and harnessing it to the service of creativity, decision-making, and meaning. That is our superpower.[23]

We choose like electrons

So if Mitchell is correct that quantum indeterminacy permeates the universe and enables the evolution of choice and free agency, are Conway and Kochen also correct? Are we like electrons in a truly fundamental way?

Electrons make something like free choices through the process of quantum reduction. In that process the universe around the electron undergoes a deep transformation. Before the process the electron exists in an unrecognizable quantum world of infinite superpositioned possibilities; after the process the electron becomes part of a recognizable reality of finite events and things. The process transforms possibilities into mathematical probabilities which resolve into one unique occurrence in spacetime. The electron therefore has a superpower, too—it can resolve probabilities into unique outcomes.

Our superpower is very much like that. We are made of fundamental particles like electrons and we are creatures like electrons. The universe we inhabit is constructed through the process of quantum reduction. Second by second, the quantum world of possibilities transforms itself into the concrete world of spacetime. Our world is fundamentally about uncertain possibilities and probabilities resolving into the certainty of actual events.

That ubiquitous uncertainty is reflected in the structure and operation of our brains. By making decisions amidst uncertainty, we participate in the universal process of transforming possibilities into unique, concrete events. Natural selection has taught us to use the randomness that is foundational to that process; we use it for creative inspiration and to generate options for decision-making. We sometimes make random choices—intentionally.

The ability to make random choices—just as an electron does—may be crucial to the ability to make non-random, reasoned choices. John Conway perhaps had this in mind when he said that the free will theorem also could be called the “free whim theorem”.[24] Without the freedom to make random choices, making reasoned choices through judgment and logic may amount to nothing but determinism. True free will necessitates freedom to choose, and the “free whim” of the electron may be exactly what gives us that freedom.

Electrons R us.


[1] Conway and Kochen (2006), p. 27.

[2] Democritus argued that all action in the universe is determined by the movements of atoms. Epicurus, one of his followers, theorized that atoms swerve periodically in a way that breaks the chain of deterministic causation and preserves a conceptual basis for human freedom of action.

[3] In a follow-up article Kochen broadened the proof to demonstrate that the free behavior of particles is not dependent on the free behavior of humans. Kochen (2022).

[4] Conway and Kochen (2009), p. 230.

[5] This unexplained behavior is called the “collapse of the wave function”, also quantum state vector reduction, quantum state reduction, or simply quantum reduction.

[6] “[O]ur assertion that ‘the particles make a free decision’ is merely a shorthand form of the more precise statement that ‘the Universe makes this free decision in the neighborhood of the particles’.” Conway and Kochen (2006), p. 15.

[7] Conway and Kochen did not give credence to the proposition that experimenters are not free to choose their own experiments. “It is hard to take science seriously in a universe that in fact controls all the choices experimenters think they make. Nature could be in an insidious conspiracy to ‘confirm’ laws by denying us the freedom to make the tests that would refute them. Physical induction, the primary tool of science, disappears if we are denied access to random samples. It is also hard to take seriously the arguments of those who according to their own beliefs are deterministic automata!” Conway and Kochen (2006), p. 24.

[8] See e.g., Hossenfelder (2022).

[9] “Indeed, it is natural to suppose that this latter freedom [of particles] is the ultimate explanation of our own.” Conway and Kochen (2009), p. 230.

[10] “Although we find ourselves unable to give an operational definition of either ‘free’ or ‘random,’ we have managed to distinguish between them in our context, because free behavior can be twinned, while random behavior cannot (a remark that might also interest some philosophers of free will).” Conway and Kochen (2006), p. 25.

[11] Conway and Kochen (2009), p. 230.

[12] “In the present state of knowledge, it is certainly beyond our capabilities to understand the connection between the free decisions of particles and humans, but the free will of neither of these is accounted for by mere randomness.” Conway and Kochen (2009), p. 230.

[13] “The world [the free will theorem] presents us with is a fascinating one, in which fundamental particles are continually making their own decisions. No theory can predict exactly what these particles will do in the future for the very good reason that they may not yet have decided what this will be! Most of their decisions, of course, will not greatly affect things — we can describe them as mere ineffectual flutterings, which on a large scale almost cancel each other out, and so can be ignored. The authors strongly believe, however, that there is a way our brains prevent some of this cancellation, so allowing us to integrate what remains and producing our own free will.” Conway and Kochen (2006), pp. 26-27.

[14] Mitchell (2023), p. 280.

[15] Mitchell (2023), pp. 280-281.

[16] Mitchell (2023), p. 159.

[17] “[T]he higher-order features that guide behavior revolve around purpose, function, and meaning. The patterns of neural activity in the brain have meaning that derives from past experience, is grounded by the interactions of the organism with its environment, and reflects the past causal influences of learning and natural selection. The physical structure of the nervous system captures those causal influences and embodies them as criteria to inform future action. What emerges is a structure that actively filters and selects patterns of neural activity based on higher-order functionalities and constraints. The conclusion—the correct way to think of the brain (or, perhaps better, the whole organism) is as a cognitive system, with an architecture that functionally operates on representations of things like beliefs, desires, goals, and intentions.” Mitchell (2023), pp. 194-195.

[18] Mitchell (2023), p. 175 (emphasis in original).

[19] Mitchell (2023), p. 175 (emphasis in original).

[20] Mitchell (2023), pp. 187-192, citing Doyle (2010).

[21] Mitchell (2023), p. 191 (emphasis in original).

[22] Mitchell (2023), p. 188.

[23] “This capacity to generate and then select among truly novel actions is clearly highly adaptive in a world that refuses to remain 100 percent predictable.” Mitchell (2023), p. 191.

[24] As reported by Jasvir Nagra in notes on a talk given by Conway in 2004. “He said he did not really care what people chose to call it. Some people choose to call it ‘free will’ only when there is some judgment involved. He said he felt that ‘free will’ was freer if it was unhampered by judgment—that it was almost a whim. ‘If you don’t like the term Free Will, call it Free Whim—this is the Free Whim Theorem.’” Nagra (2020).

What about the “delay”?

Who are we really? Are we active agents making decisions and choices? Or are we passive observers of our actions with decisions made for us by autonomic or deterministic processes that allow us no real capacity for conscious decision?

Some contend that we are exactly those passive observers. Free will skeptics argue that forces far outside our control determine our actions and identities. The physical traits and capabilities that define us as humans do not originate with us as individuals, but with our ancestors long before we were born. They acquired those traits through natural selection in a process that played out over millennia, determining how our brains work and how we make decisions. The language that shapes how we think was invented 200,000 years ago and taught to us by prior generations. We are born into families, cultures, and civilizations—all of which define us before we take our first breath. Geography, climate, and environment give us certain opportunities, but deny us others. All these forces and events are themselves constrained by the movements of molecular and atomic and subatomic particles and fields that specify the range of possibilities available to every entity in the universe. In truth, there is much to support the view that we have little or no control over our actions, that free will and self-control are useful illusions.

The famous Libet “delay”

The proof often cited to support this view is the data generated by neuroscientists such as Benjamin Libet.[1] Libet conducted a series of famous experiments in which he took EEG readings of subjects asked to make random hand movements and record the time of their conscious decision to make each movement. The EEG readings showed a build-up of brain activity beginning before the subject was aware of the conscious decision to move. On average the readings showed electrical activity as much as half a second before the conscious decision, a build-up described as the “Readiness Potential”. Libet and others pointed to the onset of the Readiness Potential as the moment when the brain makes the decision to act, in this case by flicking a hand.

The experiments have been interpreted as showing a measurable delay between the beginning of the chosen action (assumed to be the onset of the Readiness Potential) and the conscious decision to take the action. In other words, the action seems initiated by a process other than the conscious decision itself. Apparently, our actions are determined by a physical process other than conscious decision-making. Conscious awareness seems to record the process after the fact, not initiate the process.

Free will skeptics cite these experiments as evidence that we do not have the agency we imagine we do. Our conscious decisions do not cause actions. We are instead passive observers of decisions driven by processes over which we have no control.[2]

Does the “delay” disprove free will? No.

The Libet findings and their progeny have been much discussed and debated over the decades since. The “delay” has become almost an accepted phenomenon in scientific and popular circles.

That broadly accepted view, however, is apparently wrong. The findings have been brought into doubt, even debunked,[3] by more recent neuroscientific research. They appear now to be artifacts of Libet’s analytical model rather than objective evidence of decision-making processes in the brain.[4] Contrary to the popular view, the “delay” data does not negate free will nor prove that conscious decision-making occurs after the fact.[5] New research interprets the data quite differently and offers a more robust explanation of the processes that govern decision-making in the brain.

The Libet experiments are not about meaningful decisions

Libet acknowledged that his findings do not apply to actions involving conscious deliberation,[6] the most common type of decision-making associated with free will or conscious awareness. His experiments focus on spontaneous decisions that are consequence-free for all practical purposes. Subjects are asked to flick a hand at a random time chosen by them on a whim without prior planning and without meaning attached to the movement. The experiments examine what occurs in the brain just prior to a movement made in the spur of the moment without deliberation.

Humans and other organisms make many kinds of decisions. There are decisions with grave consequences. There are decisions with almost no consequences, such as random choices about immaterial things. And there are decisions with many degrees of consequence in between. The choice to make a random, consequence-free hand movement is close to one extreme, almost an autonomic action relying on reflexive muscle movement more than thought or planning. The brain process for making such hand movements may be very different from the process for making decisions with consequences, which may require consideration over a period of time. For example, a decision to migrate from one region to another in search of food. Or a decision to take revenge on a murderous uncle, so elaborately over-thought that an entire dramatic production may be built around one lonely prince’s lengthy process of decision-making.[7]

Consequently, even if the “delay” were objective evidence of unconscious decision-making, it would be impossible to extrapolate from the data to a general model of decision-making for humans or other organisms.

The findings rely on faulty assumptions about how and when the brain decides to act

The brain is a living soup of electrical and chemical activity, with neurons firing constantly as they receive and respond to bits of information feeding into many parallel decision processes. The continual firing of neurons causes our brains to pulsate with electrical waves, which may help produce the state of watchfulness and preparation for action that the brain is designed to achieve.[8] Organisms must be ready to respond immediately to a threat or opportunity in the environment. Recurrent electrical waves with repeated peaks and troughs allow the organism to rely on the natural build-up of energy as a rapidly recurring launching point for action, helping the organism move faster in response to stimulus.[9]

Not every stimulus requires an immediate response, however, nor does every electrical wave result in action. Most electrical activity in the brain does not trigger awareness or response at all. The waves dissipate because they do not accumulate enough information or intensity to cross a threshold for action.[10] It is the waves that reach a certain point, perhaps in conjunction with waves or firings from multiple sources in the brain, that surpass a minimum threshold of attention and result in action. The brain decides to act, and the action starts to occur, when the threshold is crossed. Prior to that point, the wave is simply one of many recurring bursts of electrical activity that happen constantly without resulting in action.

The ”delay” is an artifact of the design of the experiment

Libet’s experiments by design focus only on electrical waves that precede spontaneous action. They measure the wave from onset to action, including the point prior to action when the subject becomes aware of an intent to act. The experimenters assume that the entire wave from trough to peak involves preparation for the spontaneous action and that the onset of the wave is when the brain decides to act. They overlook the possibility that what is identified as the Readiness Potential is not preparation for a specific action, but a general state of readiness which may or may not result in action. The action occurs in the experiments because they look only at waves that precede a spontaneous decision to act.

In fact, waves similar to the Readiness Potential can precede even actions that are not spontaneous, but prompted by the experimenter.[11] When subjects in Libet-style experiments are interrupted with a random click that cues them to initiate a hand movement immediately, faster responses tend to occur in conjunction with electrical waves similar to a Readiness Potential, even when the electrical wave began before the click cued the subject to act.[12] In other words, the movement by the subject, which could not have begun prior to the click, seemingly takes advantage of a pre-existing wave, as though hitching a ride to respond faster to the cue.

The same piggybacking may occur in the Libet experiments. A random hand movement may be just the sort of action to rely naturally on a recurring build-up of electrical activity in the brain. Asked to perform a voluntary movement with no particular reason to choose one time or another, the subject may rely on ongoing fluctuations in brain waves as a cue, in effect allowing the electrical waves to guide the choice of when to make the movement.[13] The result is that the movement happens near a natural peak of brain activity. It then appears to the experimenter as though the decision to move occurred at the trough of the wave rather than when the subject decided to act.

What ultimately causes action is whatever results in the wave increasing in intensity until it passes the threshold for action. That does not happen at the onset of the wave. It is more likely that the threshold is crossed when the conscious decision to take an action is made.[14] That may be exactly what pushes the wave over the threshold and results in action.[15] In other words, there may be no “delay” at all, because the time when the subject becomes aware of the intention to move may correspond with the time when the threshold for action is crossed.[16]

The Libet experiments make the classic mistake of building unchallenged assumptions into the structure of the analysis. The observed “delay” is likely a result of the assumptions underlying the experiment and an artifact of the data analysis, not something that occurs in the brain itself.

The experiments are premised on a dualist model of decision-making and consciousness

The concept of the “delay” is also founded on historical assumptions about the separation of “mind” and “body” that do not reflect biological processes of decision-making in the brain.

The experimenters assume a single point in time when decisions occur in the brain. They interpret the data as showing that the single point is not when we thought it was—at the time the subject becomes aware of an intention to act. Instead, they argue that the decision point is earlier—at the onset of the electrical wave which they identify as the Readiness Potential. The “delay” is then measured as the difference between the two points—the time between the unconscious decision and the later conscious awareness of the decision.

The assumption of a single decision point echoes the Cartesian notion of a central control room where “mind” resides and where decisions are made that control the “body”.[17] We imagine ourselves as having a center of consciousness in our brains where all decision-making occurs. The control room takes in data gathered by the senses, interprets the data, and makes decisions about how to respond. Libet-style experimenters accept this underlying notion that decisions occur instantaneously in the brain. They simply dispute that conscious awareness is where the decision occurs. Instead, they move the decision forward and calculate the “delay” between that presumed decision point and the point of conscious awareness.

Free will skeptics go further and argue that because awareness is “after the fact”, consciousness does not control decisions and free will is an illusion. They assume that a conscious and free human decision can be made only at an instantaneous time and place in something like a center of conscious awareness, the imaginary central control room.[18] If the decision or any part of the decision is made elsewhere, or made unconsciously or as an autonomic response of the body and brain, then the decision is not an act of free will. It is not controlled by “us” because “we” sit only in the central control room.

The straw man premise underlying the “delay”—and the free will arguments relying on it—is the magical central control room of mind-body dualism.[19] In fact, we know that humans and other organisms do not make decisions in that way.[20]

Decisions are processes

Decisions are iterative processes.[21] They do not happen instantaneously in one single place inside the brain. Some decision processes are fast, resulting in action within milliseconds. Some decision processes are slow, extending over a great many cycles of electrical activity.

Sensory information comes into different areas of the brain that process sight, sound, smell, touch, etc. Neurons fire in multiple areas. More information comes in. More neurons fire and signal other parts of the brain. Waves of electrical and chemical activity build and die out. Sometimes waves cross thresholds for action. More neurons fire.

All of this activity takes time. Time for information to flow around the brain. Time for information to be processed. Time for neurons to fire and communicate with other neurons. Time for thresholds of decision to be crossed and time for signals to travel to cells to trigger movement.[22]

Every one of these decision processes involves some autonomic or unconscious activity. Some processes are entirely unconscious. Some are partially autonomic or rely on a combination of autonomic and conscious processes. Some are deliberative and highly conscious. But even very deliberative decisions rely on biological and sensory processes that happen beneath the surface of our awareness.[23]

“We” are the entire process

Our cells and neurons, our tissues, our organs are what we are, but we have no ordinary conscious control over what they do.[24] The role of conscious awareness is not to manage autonomic or unconscious processes in the body, but to glean meaning from incoming information, to deliberate, to interpret external or internal events in ways that require conscious consideration.[25] When pre-programmed unconscious decision-making is insufficient to address a threat or an opportunity, that is when information comes to conscious awareness.

Lack of total control does not equate to zero freedom

Free will skeptics therefore are correct that conscious awareness does not drive all aspects of our decision processes. They are also correct that much of what we are as humans has been influenced or determined by forces and events far outside our individual control. We have neither total awareness nor total control.

But it does not follow logically that all our actions are autonomic and outside conscious control. We do not have zero control.[26]

We are imperfect and constrained decision-makers, but we choose nonetheless

Like other organisms, we exist in a state of uncertainty. Our knowledge of the external environment is filtered by sensory processes that have evolved through natural selection, but are imperfect. Conscious awareness of our own internal processes is limited. The “self” that we rely on for day-to-day survival is sometimes nebulous and even more uncertain than the external world. In fact, if Sam Harris and many spiritual mystics are correct, the entire concept of “self” is something of an illusion.[27]

We are not built for complete awareness of ourselves or our environment; we are built for uncertainty. Our senses and our conscious awareness have been tuned at a rudimentary level to distinguish between “us” and “not us”.[28] We use that limited knowledge of “self” to make decisions that have guided the development of our species over millennia. We take in sensory data, process it, and respond to the best of our capacities as organisms evolved to decide and act.

Both internally and externally our knowledge, our capacity, and our behavior are constrained. Yet those constraints make us who we are. They make us human instead of not human. They guide our behavior. As neuroscientist Kevin Mitchell has put it, “Selfhood … entails constraint. It is only constraint. The freedom to be you involves constraining the elements that make you up from becoming not you.[29]

Despite every constraint and every uncertainty, we are designed by natural selection to be decision-making machines. That is who we really are.


[1] Libet (1983).

[2] Harris (2012), pp. 8-9.

[3] Gholipour (2019).

[4] “The RP [Readiness Potential] is generated by sampling only epochs that culminate in movement. In Libet-like tasks we never observe what happens when movement is not triggered. This raises the possibility that the RP is due to biased sampling, an artifact of the analysis process.” Schurger (2021), p. 562. “[T]he readiness potential is not in fact a signal of the intention to move that occurs long before subjective awareness but rather is an artifact of the way the data are analyzed.” Mitchell (2023), p. 185.

[5] Neuroscientist Kevin J. Mitchell describes the Libet experiments as “one of the most widely misinterpreted set of findings in human neuroscience….” “[T]he implications of these findings have since been widely extrapolated, way beyond the bounds of the actual experiment, to suggest that we never really make decisions at all, that our brains just do the deciding for us, and that we later make up stories to ourselves to rationalize our actions in some kind of post-hoc narrative. Indeed, these experiments are often cited as conclusive evidence that neuroscience has shown free will to be an illusion. This is, to put it mildly, a drastic overinterpretation.” Mitchell (2023), pp. 181, 183.

[6] “In those voluntary actions that are not ‘spontaneous’ and quickly performed, that is, in those in which conscious deliberation (of whether to act or of what alternative choice of action to take) precedes the act, the possibilities for conscious initiation and control would not be excluded by the present evidence.” Libet (1983), p. 641.

[7] Imagine the unconscious “readiness potential” that might appear in EEG readings of Hamlet’s brain over the course of his many days of doubt and indecision.

[8] See Mitchell (2023), Dennett (2003), and Dennett (1991) for general descriptions of brain behavior evolved through natural selection.

[9] Imagine a tiger crouching in the jungle, body and brain alert, muscles contracted and ready to respond to any sign of opportunity or threat, before it finally accumulates enough sensory information to cause it to spring, or alternatively, to relax its guard and move away.

[10] “[]he signal clearly fluctuates noisily up and down all the time. Sometimes it goes back down again, and the person does not move; other times it happens to reach a threshold, and then a movement is initiated.” Mitchell (2023), p. 184.

[11] “Indeed, simulations show that when the model is interrupted at random times and forced to produce a speeded response …, the fastest responses are preceded by a slow amplitude deflection (in the direction of the threshold) that long precedes the interruption itself, whereas the slower responses are not. Hence, even sensory-cued responses can be preceded by a readiness potential.” Schurger (2012), p. 2.

[12] “Presumably the increased (negative) electrical potential preceding faster responses cannot reflect preparatory neural activity, because the clicks [cues] were unpredictable.” Schurger (2012), p. 4.

[13] Mitchell (2023), p. 184.

[14] To return to the tiger analogy, the leap does not begin from the moment when the tiger’s muscles tense for action. Muscle contraction may occur over and over again before the leap. The leap occurs when the tiger has enough information to determine the time is ripe for the attack. That is when the tiger decides to move.

[15] “Indeed, if the decision to move is marked by the time of threshold crossing, then awareness of conscious intention to move coincides with the decision point, as common sense would suggest.” Schurger (2021), p. 566 (emphasis in original).

[16] “We propose that the neural decision to move coincides in time with average subjective estimates of the time of awareness of intention to move… and that the brain produces a reasonably accurate estimate of the time of its movement-causing decision events.” Schurger (2012), p. 7.

[17] See Dennett (2003), pp. 227-242.

[18] Dennett (2003), p. 242. “[T]here no such place in the brain. As I never tire of pointing out, all the work done by the imagined homunculus in the Cartesian Theater has to be broken up and distributed in space and time in the brain.” Dennett (2003), p. 237-238 (emphasis in original). (The “imagined homunculus in the Cartesian Theatre” is, of course, the magical central control room.)

[19] Dennett, after reading the 2019 article in the The Atlantic titled “A Famous Argument Against Free Will Has Been Debunked”, tweeted “The Libet results on free will and their many descendants are crumbling now, and there is more to come. A nice case of science exposing hidden dualist assumptions in neuroscience.” Tweet dated September 12, 2019, https://x.com/danieldennett/status/1172159910286680064.

[20] “In reality, mind and brain cannot be separated like this. A more accurate conception of the mind is as an interlocking system of cognitive activities that are necessarily mediated by the functions of the brain. In humans, some of these cognitive activities are associated with conscious mental experience, but they don’t all have to be to be effective.” Mitchell (2023), pp. 208-209.

[21] See Dennett (1991), pp. 134-135, for a description of what he calls a “multiple drafts” model of brain processing.

[22] “The brain processes stimuli over time, and the amount of time depends on which information is being extracted for which purposes.” Dennett (2003), p. 238.

[23] “We don’t experience the firing of our neurons or the flux of ions or the release and detection of neurotransmitters. What we do experience is what patterns of neural activity mean, at the level that is most relevant and useful and actionable for the organism as a whole.” Mitchell (2023), p. 209 (emphasis in original).

[24] And as Daniel Dennett reminded us, they are not even aware of our existence. “Not a single one of the cells that compose you knows who you are, or cares.” Dennett (2003), p. 2.

[25] “We do not need or want complete information for optimal oversight: what we want is the right information, at the right level. The key to control is precisely the selectivity of conscious awareness. We are configured so that most of our cognitive processes operate subconsciously, with only certain types of information bubbling up to consciousness on a need-to-know basis.” Mitchell (2023), p. 262.

[26] “Even if we can sometimes be primed by external factors, this does not mean that we never make our own conscious decisions for our own reasons.” Mitchell (2023), p. 251.

[27] Harris (2014).

[28] Mitchell (2023), p. 75.

[29] Mitchell (2023), pp. 247, 279 (emphasis in original).